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STRL Q1 2026 Update: Tsunami Confirmed, Asymmetry Spent
Sterling Infrastructure’s second beat-and-raise pushes my DCF to $1,010. Bear at $700. R/R 1 to 1.05 at +1,010% gain.
May 14
•
George Atuan, CFA
2
Powell (POWL) Update: Holding the +1,103% Unicorn at Fair Value
Q2 refresh caps target at $329, a 2% discount to today’s close. Holding the +1,103% unicorn until capital finds a clearer home.
May 12
•
George Atuan, CFA
5
1
Weekly #81: The Two Questions That Stop You Selling Winners Early
Portfolio +32.0% YTD, 3.0x the market since inception. The most expensive bias and the two questions I ask instead of locking in.
May 10
•
George Atuan, CFA
4
Stride (LRN) Q3 FY2026 Update: The Engine Is Career Learning, The Wobble Is Gen Ed
Career Learning revenue +16%, General Ed enrollment -5%, target cut to $159 - Hold.
May 4
•
George Atuan, CFA
4
3
Weekly #80: Why I Stopped Using Stop-Losses 14 Years Ago
Portfolio +27.5% YTD, 3.1x the market since inception. Plus, the price rule that locks in losses you'd never have realized and the conviction stop I use…
May 3
•
George Atuan, CFA
5
1
5
April 2026
Celestica (CLS) Q1 2026: Déjà Vu. Beat, Raise, Drop
CLS just delivered another beat-and-raise. The stock fell 17% pre-market. I've seen this exact movie 90 days ago.
Apr 28
•
George Atuan, CFA
6
2
1
Weekly #79: Why I Cap Even My Best Calls at 5% (Position Sizing)
Portfolio +26.8% YTD, 3.2x the market since inception. Plus, the position-sizing math that makes "all in" the fastest way to vapourise a decade of…
Apr 26
•
George Atuan, CFA
5
The Halal Chicken Plant That Taught Me To Close Pilgrim's Pride
A 5,000-run Monte Carlo says 56% of paths finish below today’s price, so I took the +4.4% total return (15.7% capital loss) and recycled the capital…
Apr 23
•
George Atuan, CFA
3
2
A Record Quarter, a Stock Still Trading Like Nothing Happened
Record quarter, stronger balance sheet, M&A optionality now live. Here is what actually drove Q1, what management said, and what to watch as the NIM…
Apr 21
•
George Atuan, CFA
3
1
This Latam Utility Hit My Target (+40%) in 3 Months. Now What?
The call played out. The model is refreshed. But my updated rating might surprise you.
Apr 20
•
George Atuan, CFA
7
1
Weekly #78: TSMC Beat Every Line, The Market Yawned. That's the Setup
Portfolio +24.6% YTD, 3.2x the market since inception. Plus, TSM's revenue +40.6%, margins highest in a decade, full-year guide raised, but TSM…
Apr 19
•
George Atuan, CFA
4
1
The Next Boom No One Wants to Talk About Is Already Underway
A misunderstood industrial business is transforming into a high-margin compounder, powered by long-term contracts, rising content per unit, and demand…
Apr 15
•
George Atuan, CFA
9
2
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