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Record Profits, Falling Stock, And A Target I Cut
Record trailing profit, a multiple down by nearly a third, and a position underwater. One of those three is wrong.
Aug 10
•
George Atuan, CFA
10
Weekly #94: DXPE Doubled. Now It Joins My Trim List
Portfolio +40.9% YTD, 2.8x the S&P since inception. Plus, DXPE’s best quarter ever takes fair value to $225, and the position onto my trim list.
Aug 9
•
George Atuan, CFA
6
3
STRL Q2 2026 Update: Record Quarter, And 40% Cheaper Than When I Last Wrote It Up
Third straight beat-and-raise, and the stock is 40% below where I wrote the last update. My DCF goes to $1,030, bear $400, risk reward 1 to 3.5…
Aug 5
•
George Atuan, CFA
4
2
It Hit Its 2028 Targets Two Years Early. The Stock Fell.
Two weeks after I bought it, this company printed an all-time record, raised guidance for the second time this year, and hit its 2028 targets two years…
Aug 4
•
George Atuan, CFA
3
5
Weekly #93: The Shark Rule, and the 439% Fund That Broke
Portfolio +34.8% YTD, 3x the S&P since inception. Plus, the 439% fund that lost 67% in a month, and the boring habit that kept me out of it.
Aug 2
•
George Atuan, CFA
3
5
July 2026
Celestica (CLS) Q2 2026: The Fundamentals Got Better. The Market Got Scared.
Revenue +62%, EPS +83%, the third outlook raise this year, and a 2027 that management says grows faster than 65%. Keeping BUY, target $575.
Jul 29
•
George Atuan, CFA
5
1
9
Weekly #92: A PE Firm Already Bid $12 For RYAM
Portfolio +35.7% YTD, 3.2x the S&P since inception. Plus, I take the paywall off the May 2025 pick that is up +110%.
Jul 26
•
George Atuan, CFA
8
1
Weekly #91: The Weakest Force That Moves Everything: Why Valuation Is Gravity
Portfolio +31.8% YTD, 2.9x the S&P since inception. Plus, gravity joins the Physics of Investing series, TSMC’s monster quarter, and why I closed GAP.
Jul 19
•
George Atuan, CFA
4
1
15
Stock Deep Dive: The Market Is Pricing 2016. Management Is Delivering 2026.
Record earnings, a 15% guidance raise, a buyback near 7% of market cap, and a stock at half my DCF value. Deep dive.
Jul 16
•
George Atuan, CFA
6
[Trade alert] July Stock Pick: A Record Year, Priced For A Relapse
New position in the portfolio. Here is the short version now, the full deep dive lands early next week.
Jul 15
•
George Atuan, CFA
3
Gap Stock: Cheap, Well-Run and Going Nowhere (NYSE: GAP)
Base case says $30 against a sub-$20 price, but with no medium-term catalyst I am redeploying the capital.
Jul 14
•
George Atuan, CFA
11
19
Weekly #90: Mr. Market Lives in Your Head, Not on Wall Street
Portfolio +39.8% YTD, 3.1x the S&P since inception. Plus, the book that describes Mr. Market line for line, and the voice that pitched me to sell MU all…
Jul 12
•
George Atuan, CFA
10
1
17
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