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Deep Dives
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August Stock Pick: Everybody Is Watching The Wrong Number
The whole debate is about one line in the accounts but the money gets decided on a different one.
Aug 17
•
George Atuan, CFA
5
Stock Deep Dive: The Market Is Pricing 2016. Management Is Delivering 2026.
Record earnings, a 15% guidance raise, a buyback near 7% of market cap, and a stock at half my DCF value. Deep dive.
Jul 16
•
George Atuan, CFA
6
Gap Stock: Cheap, Well-Run and Going Nowhere (NYSE: GAP)
Base case says $30 against a sub-$20 price, but with no medium-term catalyst I am redeploying the capital.
Jul 14
•
George Atuan, CFA
11
19
Stock Deep Dive: The $9B Compounder That Prints When Markets Panic
A boring middleman that prints when markets panic, and the cash flow against its price is the tell.
Jun 16
•
George Atuan, CFA
5
6
After Two AI Picks Hit +1,000%, Here's Where I'm Recycling The Capital
A regulatory regime change, a pending European JV, +65% upside against a risk-reward 1 to 2.9. Buy.
May 20
•
George Atuan, CFA
3
1
The Halal Chicken Plant That Taught Me To Close Pilgrim's Pride
A 5,000-run Monte Carlo says 56% of paths finish below today’s price, so I took the +4.4% total return (15.7% capital loss) and recycled the capital…
Apr 23
•
George Atuan, CFA
3
2
The Next Boom No One Wants to Talk About Is Already Underway
A misunderstood industrial business is transforming into a high-margin compounder, powered by long-term contracts, rising content per unit, and demand…
Apr 15
•
George Atuan, CFA
9
2
Trade alert: The April Pick is A Picks-and-Shovels Play on Aerospace and Defence
War, rearmament, and tight supply chains. I found a supplier sitting in the middle of all three.
Apr 13
•
George Atuan, CFA
7
1
Deep Dive: The Eagle in the Desert: My Highest-Conviction Energy Buy of 2026
The only pure-play infrastructure bet on the world's cheapest oil patch. And why an active Middle East war just made the thesis stronger, not weaker
Mar 20
•
George Atuan, CFA
5
STRL Q4 2025 earnings: STRL is not riding a wave...it is riding a tsunami.
Q4 beat expectations by a mile, the stock sold off anyway, and my updated DCF just hit $600. Here's why none of that is a contradiction.
Mar 4
•
George Atuan, CFA
1
2
1
Dell Deep Dive: The Market Is Confusing “Commodity” With “Uninvestable”
Why the best operators quietly win when everyone else obsesses over moats
Feb 27
•
George Atuan, CFA
3
11
PayPal Post-Mortem: Why I Sold PYPL and What Changed in the Investment Thesis
Q4 2025 exposed deeper weakness in PayPal’s core checkout business, forcing a reassessment of the moat, management execution, and long-term growth…
Feb 4
•
George Atuan, CFA
10
1
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